Game Result Predictions
Today, January 13
Today, January 13
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
San Diego State (21-11) | 80 | 70 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 72 | -2.5 | 71% | ✘ | |
Boise State (22-9) | 83 | 73 | -3.0 | 61% | 69 | +2.5 | 29% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
New Mexico (18-15) | 80 | 74 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 76 | +1.5 | 35% | ✔ | |
Fresno State (19-11) | 89 | 81 | -7.0 | 73% | 77 | -1.5 | 65% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Utah State (16-17) | 57 | 70 | +14.0 | 12% | ✔ | 66 | +21.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
Nevada (29-8) | 83 | 84 | -14.0 | 88% | 87 | -21.5 | 100% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Air Force (10-19) | 78 | 67 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 69 | -7.5 | 93% | ✔ | |
San Jose State (3-26) | 71 | 65 | +2.0 | 42% | 62 | +7.5 | 7% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Colorado State (10-21) | 78 | 75 | +12.0 | 16% | ✘ | 72 | +16.5 | 0% | ✘ | |
Wyoming (19-13) | 73 | 87 | -12.0 | 84% | 89 | -16.5 | 100% |
Today, January 13 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 60%
Overall Results (4543 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 76%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 74%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.